\select@language {french}
\contentsline {section}{\numberline {1}Introduction}{2}{section.1}
\contentsline {section}{\numberline {2}Le mod\IeC {\`e}le de demande agr\IeC {\'e}g\IeC {\'e}e et d'offre agr\IeC {\'e}g\IeC {\'e}es}{3}{section.2}
\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {2.1}\IeC {\'E}quilibre de court terme}{5}{subsection.2.1}
\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {2.2}Ajustement vers l'\IeC {\'e}quilibre de long terme}{7}{subsection.2.2}
\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {2.3}Calibration du mod\IeC {\`e}le et vitesse de convergence}{8}{subsection.2.3}
\contentsline {section}{\numberline {3}Analyse de l'impact de chocs}{13}{section.3}
\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {3.1}Analyse graphique}{13}{subsection.3.1}
\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {3.2}Fonctions de r\IeC {\'e}ponse}{13}{subsection.3.2}
\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {3.3}Chocs permanents}{17}{subsection.3.3}
\contentsline {section}{\numberline {4}Version stochastique du mod\IeC {\`e}le}{17}{section.4}
\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {4.1}Pr\IeC {\'e}dictions du mod\IeC {\`e}le et faits stylis\IeC {\'e}s du cycle}{18}{subsection.4.1}
\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {4.2}Le mod\IeC {\`e}le avec attentes adaptatives}{20}{subsection.4.2}
\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {4.3}Pourquoi est-ce que l'inflation est moins persistante avec attentes adaptatives?}{25}{subsection.4.3}
\contentsline {section}{\numberline {5}Conclusion}{28}{section.5}